Inbox: How does Ethan Salas compare to past prospects?

September 1st, 2023

Happy roster expansion day, everyone! Sure, it's not quite the prospect-alooza it used be, since teams can really only add two players, but it's still an exciting time, watching who gets the call for the final month of the big league season. Jasson Domínguez and Ronny Mauricio are getting things started in New York. Who's next? We'll have to wait and see.

For now, we'll answer some questions about your favorite prospects. These aren't callup-related, though the first question does reference "The Martian."

Do you worry about Ethan Salas becoming the next Jasson Domínguez? Too hyped early on that he'll seem like a disappointment in 2026 for developing normally? -- @spencer_ogara

We answered this one, and the one below, regarding Padres phenom Ethan Salas, on this week's MLB Pipeline Podcast, so be sure to check that out. I wanted to summarize this answer and dig into the next one a little more for Inbox.

In a word, no, we're not really worried about Salas becoming "the next Jasson Domínguez." By the way, is that so bad? I know we moved Domínguez down on the Top 100 based largely on his first half, but he is a 20-year old who is about to make his big league debut, for better or for worse. I'll be the first to admit a little prospect fatigue, even though he's so young, but Domínguez may be a victim of unfair comps and expectations more than anything.

All that said, and colleague Sam Dykstra brought this up on the pod, one of the reasons for the extreme hype for Domínguez is that he didn't get to play in a game after signing until 2021 because of COVID. That only added to the intrigue and sent the hype machine into overdrive. Salas, on the other hand, signed and went out and played right away, so there was less of a build up. The Padres have pushed him VERY aggressively, so I'm not too worried about his numbers. He's WAY ahead of the curve and I think he'll go to Double-A next year and dominate. And by 2026? Looks like he'll be a big leaguer.

Where would you rank Ethan Salas for most hyped teenaged baseball prospects that you and your crew have covered? -- @StevieDAles97

While we touched on this on the pod, we wanted some time to really consider not only who would go on this list, but how we would rank them. It's hard not to use hindsight with a player who has gone on to be a superstar, so we're being mindful of that, focusing more on who had the most hype as a teenager. On the pod, we brought up all sorts of names, including international sensations who fell short of expectations, from Kevin Maitan to Miguel Sano (At least Sano was a big leaguer and made an All-Star team!). Here's what we've come up with, and I'll explain a little after the list.

  1. Bryce Harper
  2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
  3. Wander Franco
  4. Jasson Domínguez
  5. Ethan Salas
  6. Mike Trout

Harper came in with as much hype as just about any Draft prospect in history, so while he never actually ranked No. 1 on our prospect list in a preseason or midseason ranking, he entered pro ball with enough hype to top this list. Guerrero and Franco are next as two players who got a rate 80 hit tool grade, and both were No. 1 prospects, with Vladdy hitting the top spot twice and Franco being named the best prospect in the game in four straight lists.

The Domínguez vs. Salas debate could be an interesting one. You could argue Salas belongs ahead of Domínguez, given that he's ranked higher than the Yankees outfielder ever has been, and we've never had a 17-year old in the top five before. But we'll admit that New York outstrips San Diego in terms of hype machine noise and the absurd comps Domínguez drew before he had played an inning of pro ball give him the slight edge.

Trout was the one guy who we wanted to make sure we didn't over-rank based on what he's gone on to be as a big leaguer. Yes, he was our No. 1 prospect in 2011, ahead of Harper, and he made his big league debut as a teenager (though he struggled initially) But he did not have the Draft hype Harper did, so we stashed him at the bottom of this very, very good list.

What's the timeline for Matt Shaw? Are the Cubs pushing him too fast? Shouldn't they find him a position first? -- @SmallmouthMagic

The timeline does seem to be shortening, not just for Shaw, but for many of the college bats from the 2023 Draft class. Shaw has joined Dylan Crews and Nolan Schanuel as first-rounders in Double-A or higher, with Schanuel already in the big leagues. Many others are in High-A, not far behind.

I don't see anything wrong with giving hitters like Shaw a taste of Double-A before the season ends. It was a small sample, but he tore up High-A pitching (1.082 OPS) over 20 games and even if he stayed in South Bend for the rest of the summer, all signs are pointing to him being ready to go to Double-A to kick off 2024, so why not let him get his feet wet first? His bat looks like it's up to the challenge.

As for his defensive home, I wouldn't worry too much about that. Most scouts felt he'd end up at second base, with some thinking maybe the hot corner would work in a Cubs system that needs help at third. He's played mostly short this summer, which is fine, and most organizations these days like having guys move around to increase versatility. His bat will carry him to Chicago quickly and being comfortable at two or three infield spots will give him, and the Cubs staff, more options to get it into the big league lineup.